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Determine percentiles from normal distributions

Percentiles in a normal model are cumulative areas: the ppth percentile is the value below which p%p\% of observations are expected to fall, with the median at the mean and symmetry relating corresponding lower and upper percentiles. Given a mean and standard deviation, the learner finds the associated zz-score using a standard-normal table or inverse-normal technology and converts it with x=μ+zσx=\mu+z\sigma, distinguishing percentile rank from a percentage of the measured value; multivariate and non-normal methods are outside this scope.

Detailed Explanation: Determine percentiles from normal distributions

A percentile tells you the value below which a certain percentage of observations fall. For example, the 90th percentile is the value that is greater than about (90%)(90\%) of the observations.

For a normal distribution, use these steps:

  1. Convert the percentile to a cumulative area.
  2. Find the corresponding zz-score using a standard-normal table or inverse-normal technology.
  3. Convert the zz-score to the original measurement using
x=μ+zσ,x=\mu+z\sigma,

where μ\mu is the mean and σ\sigma is the standard deviation.

Example

Test scores are approximately normally distributed with mean (70)(70) and standard deviation 88. Find the score at the 90th percentile.

Step 1: Identify the cumulative area

The 90th percentile means that (90%)(90\%) of scores are below the desired score:

P(Xx)=0.90.P(X\leq x)=0.90.

Step 2: Find the zz-score

Use a standard-normal table to find the zz-score with cumulative area (0.9000)(0.9000). This gives approximately

z=1.28.z=1.28.

This means the 90th percentile is (1.28)(1.28) standard deviations above the mean.

Step 3: Convert to the original score

Substitute μ=70\mu=70, (z=1.28)(z=1.28), and σ=8\sigma=8 into the conversion formula:

x=μ+zσx=\mu+z\sigma x=70+(1.28)(8)x=70+(1.28)(8) x=80.24.x=80.24.

Therefore, the score at the 90th percentile is approximately

80.2.\boxed{80.2}.

This means about (90%)(90\%) of the scores are below (80.2)(80.2), not that (80.2%)(80.2\%) of the score is being measured. The 50th percentile is the median, which equals the mean in a normal distribution.

Learn by doing: Determine percentiles from normal distributions

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Statistics - Standard Deviation - Mean, SD and Z-Table Value to Top/Bottom X Percent Score


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