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Distinguish interpolation from extrapolation

Interpolation is the estimation of a value within the range of observed data, while extrapolation estimates a value beyond that range using an assumed pattern or model, often represented in a table, graph, or linear relationship. The distinction includes recognizing that extrapolation is generally less reliable because the observed trend may not continue outside the data, supporting reasoned interpretation of models and predictions without extending to advanced statistical modeling.

Detailed Explanation: Distinguish interpolation from extrapolation

Interpolation and extrapolation both use a pattern in observed data, but the key difference is where the estimate is made:

  • Interpolation estimates a value inside the range of the data.
  • Extrapolation estimates a value outside the range of the data.
  • Extrapolation is usually less reliable because the pattern may not continue.

Worked example

A cyclist records the distance traveled after different numbers of hours:

Time (hours)Distance (km)
150
2100
3150
4200

The data show a pattern: the cyclist travels 5050 km each hour.

1. Estimate the distance after 2.52.5 hours

The observed times range from 11 to 44 hours. Since 2.52.5 is within this range, this is interpolation.

The distance at 22 hours is 100100 km, and the distance at 33 hours is 150150 km. Halfway between 100100 and 150150 is

100+1502=125.\frac{100+150}{2}=125.

So, the estimated distance after 2.52.5 hours is

125 km.\boxed{125\text{ km}}.

2. Estimate the distance after 66 hours

Six hours is beyond the largest observed time, which is 44 hours. Therefore, this is extrapolation.

If the pattern continues at 5050 km per hour, then

6×50=300.6 \times 50=300.

The estimated distance after 66 hours is

300 km.\boxed{300\text{ km}}.

However, this estimate is less certain. The cyclist might slow down, stop, or face a hill, so the pattern from 11 to 44 hours may not continue.

To decide which type of estimate you are seeing, first identify the range of the observed data. An estimate within that range is interpolation; an estimate beyond it is extrapolation.

Learn by doing: Distinguish interpolation from extrapolation

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Graphing - Scatter Plot (Linear) - Graph to Interpolation or Extrapolation


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