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Evaluate long-term financial decisions

Long-term financial decisions are evaluated through the time value of money: compound growth, present and future value, recurring deposits or payments, and loan amortization. Comparisons account for rate, compounding or payment frequency, term, fees, total interest, and the effects of inflation, with tables, formulas, and graphs used to interpret how balances change over time and to distinguish nominal amounts from actual costs or returns. More advanced models, such as continuous compounding, stochastic investment risk, and calculus-based optimization, are not included.

Detailed Explanation: Evaluate long-term financial decisions

To evaluate a long-term financial decision, compare the actual amount you will have at the end, not just the advertised interest rate. Consider:

  • how often interest is compounded,
  • how often you make deposits,
  • the length of time,
  • fees, and
  • the total amount you deposited.

For regular deposits made at the end of each period, use the future-value formula:

FV=P[(1+r)n−1r]FV=P\left[\frac{(1+r)^n-1}{r}\right]

where:

  • PP is the regular deposit,
  • rr is the interest rate per compounding period, and
  • nn is the number of deposits.

Example

You can deposit 200attheendofeverymonthforat the end of every month for5$ years. Which account is the better choice?

AccountAnnual interest rateCompoundingMonthly fee
A5.0%5.0\%Monthly3$
B4.8%4.8\%Monthly0$

Step 1: Find the number of deposits

There are 1212 months per year for 55 years:

n=12(5)=60n=12(5)=60

You will deposit a total of:

200(60)=$12,000200(60)=\$12{,}000

Step 2: Calculate Account A

The monthly interest rate is:

r=0.05012=0.0041667r=\frac{0.050}{12}=0.0041667

Substitute into the future-value formula:

FVA=200[(1.0041667)60−10.0041667]FV_A=200\left[\frac{(1.0041667)^{60}-1}{0.0041667}\right] FVA≈$13,603FV_A\approx \$13{,}603

This is the balance before fees. The total fees are:

3(60)=$1803(60)=\$180

Therefore, the amount you effectively receive is:

$13,603−$180=$13,423\$13{,}603-\$180=\boxed{\$13{,}423}

Step 3: Calculate Account B

The monthly interest rate is:

r=0.04812=0.004r=\frac{0.048}{12}=0.004

Now calculate the future value:

FVB=200[(1.004)60−10.004]FV_B=200\left[\frac{(1.004)^{60}-1}{0.004}\right] FVB≈$13,530FV_B\approx \boxed{\$13{,}530}

There are no fees to subtract.

Step 4: Compare the results

AccountFinal value after fees
A13{,}423$
B13{,}530$

Account B is better by:

$13,530−$13,423=$107\$13{,}530-\$13{,}423=\boxed{\$107}

Although Account A has the higher interest rate, its monthly fee reduces the final amount. Therefore, Account B is the better long-term decision for this plan.

The total deposits were 12{,}000$, so Account B produced approximately:

$13,530−$12,000=$1,530\$13{,}530-\$12{,}000=\$1{,}530

in interest. These are nominal dollars; inflation could reduce what that money can buy in the future.

Learn by doing: Evaluate long-term financial decisions

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