Probability of a simple event is the ratio of favorable outcomes to the total number of equally likely outcomes in a clearly defined sample space, expressed as a fraction, decimal, or percent between 0 and 1. The value describes the event’s likelihood, with 0 representing impossibility and 1 certainty; this understanding supports proportional reasoning and later work with compound events, while conditional probability and dependent, multi-stage situations are not included here.
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A simple event is one outcome or group of outcomes you are interested in, such as picking a red marble.
To find its probability:
Example: A bag contains red marbles and blue marbles. What is the probability of choosing a red marble?
Count all possible outcomes.
There are marbles in the bag, so the total number of outcomes is .
Count the favorable outcomes.
The favorable outcomes are the red marbles.
Write the probability as a fraction.
Convert if needed.
So, the probability of choosing a red marble is , or , or . A probability is always between and : means impossible, and means certain.
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