Likelihood describes how possible an event is, using terms such as impossible, unlikely, equally likely, likely, and certain, based on the possible outcomes of a chance situation. The learner compares events qualitatively—for example, distinguishing an event that cannot occur from one that must occur and recognizing when outcomes have the same chance—without calculating numerical probabilities or using formal probability measures.
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Likelihood tells us how possible an event is.
Use these words:
Example: A spinner has 6 equal sections. Four sections are red, and two sections are blue.
Suppose we spin it once.
Landing on green is impossible.
There are no green sections, so it cannot happen.
Landing on red is likely.
There are more red sections than blue sections, so red has a better chance.
Landing on blue is unlikely.
Blue can happen, but there are fewer blue sections.
Landing on section 1 and landing on section 2 are equally likely.
Each section is the same size, so the spinner has the same chance of landing on either one.
Landing on red or blue is certain.
Every section is either red or blue, so one of these colors must happen.
To describe likelihood, look at the possible outcomes and compare how often each one can occur.
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